I hate this question because I also ask it and the truth I’m not willing to accept is that there is no definite or even ballpark answer. However, I did go through the OTS 17 bid thread, and they ran roughly the same timeline as us. From what I could see a lot of people had their class dates and FOL’s from June to September. Some were in November, some in December and some are still waiting. Some people got a class date two weeks after their paperwork was sent in, some have been waiting months. There are too many unknown variables to give a precise answer, but if I were a betting man, I would say if you don’t get a class date by September (assuming you aren’t Tier2’ed), be prepared for the long haul.