Acquired Taste
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Nah, they should indeed be held hostage. Maybe all the areas get a similar amount of trainees but area 1 is easier and has a much higher success rate than the other areas, resulting in better staffing. Maybe area 3 has a wave of retirements all at once and needs a like 5 trainees but the academy only sent 2 AGs and now area 1 also needs some trainees because they just released a qualified body on NCEPT and now area 3 will be working 60 hour weeks while the area 1 is taking spot leave everyday and letting people leave for greener pastures. Talk about creating some unnecessary animosity in the building...In the center environment, NCEPT should be based on the staffing of individual areas as opposed to the staffing of the whole building. If Area 1 is well staffed, the people trying to leave shouldn’t be held hostage because Areas 3,6 &7 are understaffed.
On the flip side I could see the reverse argument. Let's assume all things are equal. A place like ZAU had like 12 possible releases for a few panels in a row. I'd imagine some areas are probably short. Theoretically, like 10 people from the shortest area could all get released and the people on the NCEPT panel would never know in which case it would make more sense to base the NCEPT off areas.
I think maybe I talked myself into agreeing with you but for that to work, all the PPT numbers would have to be run for individual areas for it to be as fair as possible and some areas will have very low success rate and longer training times and that all needs to be accounted for in the projections. When a new body shows up to the facility, they are assigned the area with the lowest projected staffing with the only exception being if they have a backlog of too many trainees at which point they go to the next lowest projected area. I think that's the only way that it could work and then you'd have those well staffed areas release initially, and then once again be held hostage by the poorly staffed areas until the FAA sends enough new hires to be able to finally send them to train on the areas that released people.
Either way, the only real solution is for the FAA to hire a bunch more people in a hurry so more people can progress their careers and get to where they want to be.