I am aware of the group and trust the validity of the numbers as all the ones that have been publicly shared to this point are accurate.
What this means for both groups...
302 Vets... high percentage chance you will receive a TOL. 100% chance for the Vets who scored in Band 1 (80+% of Vets scored in Band 1 last AT-SA). With only 452 CTI-ers in the high band, the remaining pool 2 Vets will be hired before the pool 2 CTI-ers.
452 CTIers who scored in the High Band (Band 1) will get a TOL (if you are a CTI and did not receive a TOL, you did not score in Band 1, retake the AT-SA for the next bid).
Given the FAA intends to hire ~1,400, they have typically had a +/- of 10% in previous panels and they look for natural cut offs. Natural cut offs are all 452 Band 1 CTI's and 302 Vets (754) for Pool 1. It will all depend on how many Band 1 Pool 2 applicants are left. By law if they hire 754 from Band 1, they must hire between 617 (45% Pool 2, 55% Pool 1) and 921 (55% Pool 2, 45% Pool 1) Pool 2 applicants. If the amount of Band 1 Pool 2 applicants are between 617 and 921, I would expect them to hire all of them and call it a day.
Good Luck all. 4 large TOL batches went out last panel, dates were as follows...
1/4/17 - Referred
1/13/17 - 10 Point Vets
2/4/17 - 5 Point Vets
2/14/17 - CTI
2/24/17 - Pool 2