Until the FAA hires more people, it is highly likely you’ll see less movements, across the NAS except to/from certain facilities, in the next year or two, unless someone gets a deviation approved. There’s still another 1-3 years of retirements to come. Plus, a few people who want certain areas of the country and are putting in paperwork for the DOD.
Example: A80
We have 82 CPCs (1 part time and 1 National detail). Our facility wants 3 more TMUs, 3 supervisors, at least 2 support specialists, and 10-11 CPCs are eligible to retire. Assuming all of those placements are internal, we are back down to 64 CPCs. We will get some trainees to certify (average says 12 out of 29) so that’s 76 CPCs in 2022. Then, you add in the 3 CPCs that have gotten deviations approved, for external supervisor positions, that aren’t in the worksheet numbers. Those will probably be covered by soon to transfer in CPC-ITs. So you’re looking at still not being able to release a controller SEVEN YEARS into the implementation of NCEPT. I said it to Paul Rinaldi, after the very first panel in 2015, and I’ll say it again, “...NCEPT is a colossal fucking failure...”