May (Q3) 2023

Maybe the 3 year employee bid a place that is critically staffed and the 10 year guy bid one not as badly staffed or is fat staffed? A 3 year guy vs a 10 year guy bidding to the same facility and the 3 year guy getting picked up over the other would be shitty* though.
There are a lot of variables even to the same facility. Is the 10 year guy an asshole who makes everyone’s life miserable? Well maybe NATCA or the atm passed the word and the gaining facility would rather have the 3 year guy.
 
There are a lot of variables even to the same facility. Is the 10 year guy an asshole who makes everyone’s life miserable? Well maybe NATCA or the atm passed the word and the gaining facility would rather have the 3 year guy.
Let’s not go down the rabbit hole. I’m talking about decent employees. Not the husband and wife team who you loathe or the guy that has deals constantly
 
I received a call that was intended for my supervisor two days ago from HR of the region I submitted paperwork to. Any idea what they would want?

Edit: supervisor is on leave and I don’t know if they followed up on the call or who they actually talked to when I gave them the correct number
 
Is there any way to know how many people have an err in? With only 134 transfers happening this bid I’m curious how many people getting left behind.
 
Is there any way to know how many people have an err in? With only 134 transfers happening this bid I’m curious how many people getting left behind.
There are 1312 employees with outbound ERRs in the system. Not all of their facilities have releases this panel. This panel will likely use up almost all of the 134 possible selections based on the way the rules are set up. I'd guess 130 selections will be made this panel.
 
I think the over/under is around 95 myself, but I’m curious to see how it plays out with the new system.
I think that's a bad line. Any line under 120 and I'm hammering the over with my entire life savings. The new rules guarantees the maximum number of selections they can make. They're going to select until they they can't anymore and there's plenty of places with a ton of releasable ERRs on file that can theoretically take 10+ people to get to 100% staffed. I think most probably 90% of the releases will be gone after they go through round 1 and by the time they circle back to facilities for a second time, a few places like CLT and DFW that have a lot of releasable ERRs on file and can take a lot of bodies will get their fill.
 
I think that's a bad line. Any line under 120 and I'm hammering the over with my entire life savings. The new rules guarantees the maximum number of selections they can make. They're going to select until they they can't anymore and there's plenty of places with a ton of releasable ERRs on file that can theoretically take 10+ people to get to 100% staffed. I think most probably 90% of the releases will be gone after they go through round 1 and by the time they circle back to facilities for a second time, a few places like CLT and DFW that have a lot of releasable ERRs on file and can take a lot of bodies will get their fill.
After further digging, the 134 possible losses is misleading because there are some facilities (P31, PHX, RSW, MHT, MSP, SDL, and VRB) that have more releases available than people trying to ERR out. How is no one trying to leave MHT? Makes 0 sense. There are also a few of facilities that can release 1 but only have 1 person trying to leave. Pretty surprising that only 1 person is trying to leave MFD and they only want to go to one specific facility honestly. Either way, the actual max possible selections this round is 124 but it will likely be closer to 110-115 if I had to guess.
 
Do we find out next Monday when NCEPT adjourns if someone is picked up? Or is it June 5 when TOLs are sent out ?
 
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