A
competent union could see at least a couple moves ahead in a situation like this. But apparently not for NATCA. There are several different paths that the FAA's decision could put NATCA down, but 3 of the more clear-cut paths in my mind are:
A.) If NATCA vocally and vehemently fights against this they'll look terrible politically and to the public. The FAA staked out their position that this decision was based on ensuring the safety of the NAS and the overall health of controllers. Countering with "they didn't ask us first" makes NATCA look weak and petulant. Countering with "our controllers don't want that" doesn't work either. Neither does "it'll cost the agency and the American taxpayers more money." The only somewhat effective counter would be "we'd love for this to happen, but many controllers already work 6 days a week and this scheduling could force them into being at work 7 days a week and we can't sign off on that." So showing strong opposition to this likely doesn't play out well for NATCA with the public or with trying to make a "collaborative" deal/compromise with the FAA.
B.) NATCA caves with whimpers. Email blasts about how they're exploring their options. They'll pull a Lebowski "this will not stand, you know? This aggression will not stand, man." It will get implemented and you'll be told to suck it up. NATCA higher ups will tell you how much they fought for you behind closed doors. Po-tweet, so it goes, embrace the suck you widget of a human.
C.) NATCA leverages with malicious compliance. Release a statement about how they aim to help the FAA be in compliance within that 90 day window and they hope the FAA will be even more committed to the staffing crisis in the near future. The DAY after implementation, offer pats on the back and take every talking head interview they can get their hands on spouting how great it is that the FAA is taking controller fatigue seriously to ensure the safety of the flying public and reiterate the hopes that they'll tackle the staffing crisis with as much decisiveness. The day after that NATCA begins an unspoken "Operation Air Safety 2.0" and rolling "blue flu" across the country. Avoid most mainstream media after and offer "thoughts and prayers" tweets/press releases. Just in time for election season too. Chaos should bring the FAA to the table almost immediately. If they refuse to "mutually" reopen the Slate Book by August then secure wave after wave of pay-based MOUs with an 18 year
(/s) CBA extension. Yearly retention bonus MOU, staggered OT pay scale MOU, yearly length of service raise MOU, all tied to the expiration of the extended CBAs (let Purple and Light Blue bask in the glory as well). Pleasure doing business with you.
Less back slappin', more kneecappin'.