That's a big maybe. Looking at last panel, when there were more possible losses than there are this round, A80 had a manager's ranking list of 5 people. They got their number 1 and 4 because numbers 2, 3, and 5's facilities were out of releases by the time it got to them. I'd say there's a good chance there's only about 5 people on their ranking list this time too, so there's a good chance they will get their number 1 or 2. But by them time it gets back around to them in round 2 and being that about 287 facilities are eligible to gain and there's only 134 releases out there, I'd argue it's not just possible, but it's likely that A80 only gets 1 unless some secret closed door dynamic decisions take place.
I think a much better way to ensure the list isn't so top heavy is maybe implement some selection caps again based on how much each body represents towards projected target. Let's say each facility is capped at whatever number of selections it takes to get their projected to target to increase by 2%. Looking at DFW as an example. Target is 57. (1/57) multiplied by the training success rate 85.4% means each selection adds ~1.5% to their projected calculation so they could make 2 selections each panel. The same formula for some of top priority facilities would leave you with selection caps as follows:
NCT | 5 |
JCF | 1 |
PUB | 1 |
A80 | 5 |
SNA | 1 |
SCT | 7 |
A11 | 1 |
M03 | 1 |
I90 | 3 |
CLT | 3 |
D10 | 3 |
D01 | 3 |
HCF | 3 |
Obviously these numbers need a little work but I think it's a good framework. Instead of making the cap 1 on some of these places, make the minimum cap 2 selections and the maximum 5. That way it isn't too skewed towards the neediest places. Round 1 can be exclusively level 8-12s in which they draft in an order decided by the National Terminal List. It's not perfect but the draft order could hypothetically go something like
1. MYF
2. ORF
3. TEB
4. Y90
5. A80
6. MIA
7. SCT
8. PCT
9. SCT
10. Y90.........
After everyone in Round 1, hits their caps/selections can no longer be made, Round 2 starts with the all the other facilities under the same rules until there's no more possible moves.